The modeling methodology was developed to provide wind and wind power density estimates representing mesoscale effects that include actual synoptic forcing during two full annual cycles (horizontal resolution on the order of 2 and 3 km). The modeling results using Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) were evaluated using the RAWS and 50m tower data and applying standard and bootstrapping techniques for comparison. Two annual cycles have been simulated by MM5 using synoptic re-analysis fields as input to assess monthly, seasonal, and annual wind statistics, estimation of the optimum Weibull distribution, and to evaluate empirical formulas for extrapolating the surface winds to wind turbine hub heights. Additional tests were included to examine the value of assimilating the RAWS and tower data into MM5 using Four Dimensional Data Assimilation techniques to improve the accuracy of the wind power density estimates over areas without measurements.
Back to Renewable Energy (Invited and Contributed Speakers)
Back to The 61st Northwest Regional Meeting (June 25 - 28, 2006)